Predicting Violent Behavior

It is popularly believed that violence is unpredictable. This perception is often the result of news reports that only show the violence and aftermath rather than discussing the background that led to a particular act of violence. While the rate of violent crime in the United States has dropped recently, the fear of violence is still high and in some regions of the country, rates of violence are increasing. Although random acts of violence do occur, it is often possible to predict whether or not an individual will become violent or is planning to attack you. While this isn't a "hard" science and may not always work, understanding these concepts may help keep you out of harms way.

External signs - Behaviors and cues to look for in others are:

Internal signs - All animals have the "flight or fight" response. Pay attention to your own body's warning signals which can include:

In some settings (such as with a client, student, or employee) it is important to evaluate whether or not the individual has:


References Used:

1. Predicting Criminal Behavior Among Authorized Purchases of Handguns. April, 1998. National Institute of Justice Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

2. Student's Reports of School Crime: 1989 and 1995. March 1998. Bureau of Justice Statistics: National Center for Education Statistics.

Books of Interest:

The Gift of Fear: Survival Signals That Protect us From Violence by Gavin De Becker. 1997. Little, Brown and Company, New York.

Fear or Freedom: A Woman's Options in Social Survival & Physical Defense by Susan E. Smith. 1986. Mother Courage Press: Racine, WI.

Links to Sites Related to Violence Prevention


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