Predicting Violent Behavior
It is popularly believed that violence is unpredictable. This perception
is often the result of news reports that only show the violence and aftermath
rather than discussing the background that led to a particular act of violence.
While the rate of violent crime in the United States has dropped recently,
the fear of violence is still high and in some regions of the country,
rates of violence are increasing. Although random acts of violence do occur,
it is often possible to predict whether or not an individual will become
violent or is planning to attack you. While this isn't a "hard" science
and may not always work, understanding these concepts may help keep you
out of harms way.
External signs - Behaviors and cues to look for in others are:
-
increased agitation or anxiety. Often a person will appear unsettled
and display pent-up energy directed into meaningless activities. The person
also might display an increase in their rate of breathing and sweating.
-
loss of rationality.
-
acting out. Such behavior might include verbal aggression or threatening
movements either with their body or weapons or potential weapons.
-
excessive emotional attention directed your way such as loud talk,
argumentative and angry statements.
-
during interviews, the individual conspicuously ignores you.
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shows contempt toward you. One way this is done is with a "look
through stare". This is a stare where they look through you rather
than at you.
-
muscular tension or abrupt stopping of all movement. Watch for the
shoulders to shift due to increased muscular tension.
-
shifting into a "boxers" stance or "martial arts" type stance. Watch
for a shift of feet, hips and balance adjustment. Also, watch for clenching
of fists.
-
target glance. Except for highly skilled fighters, most people will
look at a target prior to striking or kicking.
-
moves inside your personal space or your boundaries. A person who
is targeting you for violence or other criminal acts will often move inside
your personal space. For most Americans this is ~18 inches to 4 feet. The
size of personal space varies by situation, individual, and culture.
Internal signs - All animals have the "flight or fight" response. Pay attention
to your own body's warning signals which can include:
-
a "gut feeling" that something is not right.
-
a feeling of fear even if there may be no obvious cause. Fear can
manifest itself in many ways including an increased rate of breathing,
sweaty palms, "butterflies" in the stomach or an "adrenalin" rush. It does
no good to feel fear all the time, however, fear is a useful part of us
because it can keep us out of danger. Pay attention to fear. Then take
action.
In some settings (such as with a client, student, or employee) it is important
to evaluate whether or not the individual has:
-
a history of violence. If a person responds with violence to life
events, it is likely that violent behavior will be seen in this person
again. It is generally agreed that a good predictor of future behavior
is past behavior. For instance, a recent study by the National Institute
of Justice Centers for Disease Control and Prevention shows that among
people who make authorized purchases of handguns, those with a prior history
of crime are ~3.7 more times likely to commit a crime than purchasers with
no criminal history (Reference 1).
-
a history of drug and alcohol use or abuse. Violent behavior is
often correlated to the use or abuse of alcohol or drugs. Not surprisingly,
violence is also higher in places where drugs are readily available since
this is also where other problems such as street gangs and guns often co-exist
(for example see Reference 2).
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a history of mental disorder with violent behavior.
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recently purchased a firearm.
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recently had a major life upset such as a divorce, death in the
family, loss of a job, etc. Under times of stress, a person may be
more likely to act out in violent ways.
References Used:
1. Predicting Criminal Behavior Among Authorized Purchases of Handguns.
April, 1998. National Institute of Justice Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention.
2. Student's Reports of School Crime: 1989 and 1995. March 1998. Bureau
of Justice Statistics: National Center for Education Statistics.
Books of Interest:
The Gift of Fear: Survival Signals That Protect us From Violence
by Gavin De Becker. 1997. Little, Brown and Company, New York.
Fear or Freedom: A Woman's Options in Social Survival & Physical
Defense by Susan E. Smith. 1986. Mother Courage Press: Racine, WI.
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